4Sight Chats

Nicolai J. Foss is a professor of strategy at the Copenhagen Business School. He is a prolific contributor to the research literature in management and is one of the world's most cited management scholars. He is mainly interested in the organizational and individual-level aspects of processes of creating and capturing value.

Also available in video format on YouTube: https://youtu.be/QgKJOuJ1uNM

CHAT OUTLINE

[02:58] Can you give us a quick introduction to your recent book “Why Managers Matter: The perils of the Bossless Company”, with Peter Klein?

[10:21] Mark 1 and Mark 2 authority and how the bossless company narrative confuses them

[15:14] The bossless company narrative in in high power distance contexts and its psychological costs

[17:15] When does the bossless company actually work?

[23:23] The bossless company narrative in highly turbulent/highly uncertain environments

[25:14] The deeper epistemological and political values behind the bossless company narrative

[31:20] The bossless company narrative and postmodernism

[34:03] Why do companies go woke?

[36:16] The public response to Nicolai's work on bossless company and wokeness

[40:10] Why do business schools do so little research on sensitive themes such as wokeness and capitalism?

[44:52] What are the biggest problems in management research?

[54:52] Lighthearted closing question: What is your experience as a business school professor in Bocconi (Italy)?

MENTIONED SOURCES

Foss, N. J., & Klein, P. G. (2022). Why Managers Matter: The Perils of the Bossless Company: https://www.amazon.com/Why-Managers-Matter-Bossless-Company/dp/1541751043

Wulf, J. (2012). The Flattened Firm—Not as Advertised: https://hbswk.hbs.edu/item/the-flattened-firmnot-as-advertised

Hamel, G. & Zanini, M. (2016). Excess Management Is Costing the U.S. $3 Trillion Per Year: https://hbr.org/2016/09/excess-management-is-costing-the-us-3-trillion-per-year

Foss, N. J., & Klein, P. G. (2022). Why Do Companies Go Woke? Academy of Management Perspectives: https://journals.aom.org/doi/10.5465/amp.2021.0201

Commentaries (and rejoinder) to the book on the Journal of Organizational Design: https://link.springer.com/journal/41469/volumes-and-issues/12-1

Heterodox Academy: https://heterodoxacademy.org

Audio by Bensound

Affiliated with the journal Futures & Foresight Science: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/25735152

Support Alex's videos: https://www.patreon.com/alexfergnani

Dr. Aubrey de Grey is a biomedical gerontologist based in Silicon Valley, California, USA, and is the founder, President and Chief Science Officer of LEV Foundation, a biomedical research and advocacy charity focused on repairing the molecular and cellular damage of aging. He received his BA in computer science and Ph.D. in biology from the University of Cambridge. His research interests encompass the characterisation of all the types of damage that constitute mammalian aging and the design of interventions to repair and/or obviate that damage. Dr. de Grey is a Fellow of both the Gerontological Society of America and the American Aging Association, and sits on the editorial and scientific advisory boards of numerous journals and organisations. He is a highly sought-after speaker who gives frequent invited talks at scientific conferences, universities, companies in areas ranging from pharma to life insurance, and to the public.

Also available in video format on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e8tUWAG-pyI

CHAT OUTLINE

[03:23] What is longevity escape velocity (LEV)?

[08:40] When can we reasonably achieve longevity escape velocity?

[12:32] What kind of treatments would be available if we were to achieve longevity escape velocity?

[14:20] What are the conditions of old age we would do away with if we were to achieve longevity escape velocity?

[17:30] Can loss of neurons be addressed by these treatments?

[21:33] The differences and similarities between the various treatments to combat aging

[24:16] The long term change in value system about living longer lifespans and death vs short term anticipation of such change

[27:58] What societal conflicts can we reasonably expect when people will start anticipating living longer?

[32:25] Should we be concerned about such conflicts or not?

[34:00] Alex tries to convince Aubrey about the effectiveness of scenario planning applied to the futures of longevity

[43:00] The postmodern view: what could go spectacularly wrong in the future of longevity (at the political level, research level, molecular level, or else)?

[51:16] Other than research, what do you do/suggest others to do to extend our lifespans?

[52:58] How about diet?

[54:56] How about fasting?

[59:15] How to give to the LEV foundation?

MENTIONED SOURCES

de Grey & Rae (2008). Ending Aging: The Rejuvenation Breakthroughs That Could Reverse Human Aging in Our Lifetime: https://www.amazon.com/Ending-Aging-Rejuvenation-Breakthroughs-Lifetime/dp/0312367074

Arrison (2013). 100 Plus: How the Coming Age of Longevity Will Change Everything, From Careers and Relationships to Family and Faith: https://www.amazon.com/100-Plus-Longevity-Everything-Relationships/dp/0465063764

Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) Foundation: https://www.levf.org/

Give to the Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) Foundation: https://www.levf.org/donate

Aubrey on Twitter: https://twitter.com/aubreydegrey?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor

Aubrey on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/aubrey-de-grey-24260b/

Aubrey on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/aubrey.degrey

Support Alex's videos: https://www.patreon.com/alexfergnani

Audio by Bensound

Daniel is a sociologist and transdisciplinary thinker specializing in metamodernism, the stage of societal development that comes after and goes beyond postmodernism. Alex is Co-founder and Head of Foresight at the Ideactio Centre for Foresight Research & Consulting (Singapore).  

Also available in video format:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i-x1xVy4n8o

CHAT OUTLINE 

[04:03] For an audience of which mental development stage is this self-help book? In contrast, for an audience of which mental development stage are Peterson's self-help books? what is the difference between the two? 

[18:50] Why it is not necessary to wait until one has resolved personal problems to engage in social critique, contrary to Jordan Peterson’s argument

[35:33] Why it is more important to pursue day-to-day happiness/joy of being rather than or beyond meaningful goals (AKA what’s meaningful), contrary to Jordan Peterson’s argument

[48:53] Hanzi Freinacht's self-help vs Jordan Peterson's self help as self-help for the remembering self vs self-help for the experiencing self. [56:45] What kind of new public intellectual and new philosophical framework, i.e., metamodernism, does this book point us to? 

[1:06:14] Why talking to Daniel (and metamodernism in general) makes Alex feel more intelligent and more stupid at the same time.  

MENTIONED SOURCES 

Freinacht (2023). 12 Commandments: For Extraordinary People To Master Ordinary Life: https://www.amazon.com/12-Commandments-Extraordinary-People-Ordinary-ebook/dp/B0BR62T9QG/ref=sr_1_1?crid=2N0F46GPX1UUA&keywords=hanzi+freinacht&qid=1672985297&sprefix=hanzi+freina%2Caps%2C1483&sr=8-1 

Support Alex's videos: https://www.patreon.com/alexfergnani 

Audio by Bensound

George is a professor of management science at the university of Strathclyde (Glasgow), Editor-in-Chief of the Journal of Behavioral Decision Making and Editor-in-Chief of the recently launched Wiley journal, Futures & Foresight Science. Alex is co-founder and head of foresight at the Ideactio Centre for Foresight Research & Consulting (Singapore).  

Also available on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JSLE0Q7ayyY

CHAT OUTLINE: 

[1:10] Introduction, scope and vision of the journal "Futures & Foresight Science" (FFS) 

[05:39] Why would  futures/foresight/scenario planning researchers and practitioners want to publish their work in FFS?  

[10:57] Why would management and organization researchers/executive educators want to publish their work (about foresight/scenarios and related topics) in FFS?  

[15:08] The experience of the FFS review process from an author's perspective 

[18:43] The experience of FFS from a reader's perspective    

MENTIONED SOURCES: 

Mills & Wilner (2022). The science behind “values”: Applying moral foundations theory to strategic foresight: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/ffo2.145  

Schoemaker (2020). How historical analysis can enrich scenario planning: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/ffo2.35  

Spaniol & Rowland (2018). Defining scenario: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/ffo2.3   

Support Alex's videos: https://www.patreon.com/alexfergnani

Dennis Tourish is a professor of leadership and organization studies at the University of Sussex Business School. Alex Fergnani is the co-founder and head of foresight at the Ideactio Centre for Foresight Research and Consulting (Singapore)  

Available in video format:   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bD5kuYFHg0w

CHAT OUTLINE: 

[02:35] Some statistics about the crisis in management studies 

[05:20] Summary of the many interlinked problems behind the crisis in management studies (overemphasis of theory, questionable research practices, lack of relevant research, overemphasis of journals' impact factors, etc.) 

[12:08] Taking a complexity view of the issue, what is/are the problem(s) that we absolutely have to address first? 

[15:40] Why we are underestimating our agency to solve the problem 

[18:20] Why referring to scientific publications by using the phrase “playing the game”  is deleterious 

[20:20] Taking a (simplified) foresight view of the issue, what is the best case future scenario and the worst case future scenario of management studies?

[24:06] Possible solutions, e.g., a shorter review process, grant lottery for researchers, etc. 

[28:57] Research malpractice, e.g.,  only positive results are shown, tautological hypotheses, etc. 

[31:37] The necessity of promoting abductive research and case studies 

[33:38] P-hacking and the crisis of reproducibility 

[34:26] How to address the problem collectively 

[39;28] Resistance to change 

[42:37] Why and how to do more relevant management research? 

[48:02] What has recently changed in the field about the problem  

MENTIONED SOURCES: 

Tourish (2019). Management Studies in Crisis: Fraud, Deception and Meaningless Research: https://www.amazon.com/Management-Studies-Crisis-Deception-Meaningless-ebook/dp/B07S7DWWDB/ref=sr_1_2?crid=DZBBU4AVB09C&keywords=dennis+tourish&qid=1668507482&sprefix=dennis+tourish%2Caps%2C141&sr=8-2 

Tourish (2020).The Triumph of Nonsense in Management Studies: https://journals.aom.org/doi/10.5465/amle.2019.0255 

Haley et al. (2022). In Search of Scholarly Impact (AMLE Editorial): https://journals.aom.org/doi/10.5465/amle.2022.0327 

Sharma et al (2022). Cocreating Forward: How Researchers and Managers Can Address Problems Together: https://journals.aom.org/doi/10.5465/amle.2021.0233 

Ramani et al. (2022). Defining, Measuring, and Rewarding Scholarly Impact: Mind the Level of Analysis: https://journals.aom.org/doi/10.5465/amle.2021.0177 

Fergnani & Chermack (2021). The resistance to scientific theory in futures and foresight, and what to do about it: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/ffo2.61 

Responsible Research In Business and Management network: https://www.rrbm.network   

Support Alex's videos: https://www.patreon.com/alexfergnani 

Audio by Bensound

Marcus is Associate Professor at the Beijing Institute of Technology in Zhuhai, China. Alex is PhD Candidate at NUS Business School, Singapore.  

Also available in video format: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5_Ug2Frhcco

Gerard is Vice Dean for Research of the Faculty of Humanities and Professor of Strategic Management and Behavioural Science at Alliance Manchester Business School. Alex is PhD Candidate at NUS Business School, Singapore. 

Available in video format:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JqvNxpeG90k

Chat outline: 

-The role of emotions in foresight and strategic decision making 

-How to take emotions into account as foresight practitioners (both in others and ourselves) 

-Risks as feelings 

-The science-practice divide 

-Critical realism as a philosophical framework to study futures and foresight  

MENTIONED REFERENCES: 

Hodgkinson and Wright (2002). Confronting Strategic Inertia in a Top Management Team: Learning from Failure: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/0170840602236014 

David Teece’s dynamic capabilities framework: https://www.davidjteece.com/dynamic-capabilities 

Kahneman (2013). Thinking, Fast and Slow: https://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Fast-Slow-Daniel-Kahneman/dp/0374533555 

Loewenstein, Weber, Hsee, and Welch (2001). Risks as feelings: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/11316014/ 

Evans (2008). Dual-processing accounts of reasoning judgment, and social cognition: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/18154502/ 

Evans and Stanovich  (2013). Dual-process theories of higher cognition advancing the debate: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/1745691612460685 

Anderson, Herriot and Hodgkinson (2001). The practitioner–researcher divide in Industrial, Work and Organizational (IWO) psychology: Where are we now, and where do we go from here?: https://psycnet.apa.org/record/2002-10499-002 

Fergnani and Chermack (2021). The resistance to scientific theory in futures and foresight and what to do about it: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/ffo2.61 

Hodgkinson (2021). Why appealing to the virtues of scientific theory (and method) is necessary but insufficient for effecting systemic change: A commentary on Fergnani & Chermack 2021: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/ffo2.79 

Hodgkinson and Healey (2008). Toward a (Pragmatic) Science of Strategic Intervention: Design Propositions for Scenario Planning: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/0170840607088022 

To know more about Gerard, see: https://www.research.manchester.ac.uk/portal/gerard.hodgkinson.html 

Support Alex's videos: https://www.patreon.com/alexfergnani 

Audio by Bensound

This conversation is an interview between Tom Chermack and Alex Fergnani about Tom's latest book, "Using Scenarios". Tom is a Professor in organizational learning, performance and change at Colorado State University. Alex is a PhD Candidate at NUS Business School.  

CHAT OUTLINE: 

-Motivation behind writing the book 

-How to choose which "after scenarios" method to use 

-Translating scenarios into financials 

-Responding to potential criticism 

-The rationale behind the design of the book cover

The conversation is also available in video format: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zgmfkHtGURk

"Using Scenarios: Scenario Planning for Improving Organizations" can be found at: https://www.amazon.com/Using-Scenarios-Scenario-Improving-Organizations/dp/1523092882 

Tom's previous book on scenario planning, "Scenario Planning in Organizations: How to Create, Use, and Assess Scenarios" can be found at: https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B00F9FMYGO/ref=dbs_a_def_rwt_bibl_vppi_i1

You can support Alex's podcast here: https://www.patreon.com/alexfergnani

The 3rd episode of the 2nd season of the 4Sight Chats Series, with Thomas (Tom) Lombardo. Tom is s the Director of the Center for Future Consciousness, Editor of Future Consciousness Insights, and Professor Emeritus and Retired Faculty Chair of Psychology, Philosophy, and the Future at Rio Salado College. Alex is PhD candidate at NUS Business School (Singapore), and Associate Editor of the journal "World Futures Review".   

Chat Outline:  

-Using science fiction as a form of foresight and its challenges 

-What is future consciousness and why it’s important 

-Measuring the various dimensions of future consciousness 

-The evolutionary character of future consciousness: purposeful evolution 

-Future consciousness to transcend the modern-postmodern divide 

-Tom’s two new books on science fiction   

Available in audio-only podcast format: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tc1oO2Z8Odw

MENTIONED REFERENCES  

Alex’s article on the 6 archetypes framework: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0016328720301336 

Article on futures consciousness (not future consciousness): https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0016328717301611#:~:text=Johan%20Galtung%20defines%20future%20consciousness,should%20happen%20in%20the%20future.  

Lombardo (2006). The Evolution of Future Consciousness: The Nature and Historical Development of the Human Capacity to Think about the Future (book): https://www.amazon.com/Evolution-Future-Consciousness-Historical-Development/dp/1425944469 

Lombardo (2017). Future Consciousness: The Path to Purposeful Evolution (book): https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B076336S1J/ref=dbs_a_def_rwt_bibl_vppi_i6 

Lombardo (2018). Science Fiction - The Evolutionary Mythology of the Future: Prometheus to the Martians (book): https://www.amazon.com/Science-Fiction-Evolutionary-Mythology-Prometheus-ebook/dp/B07J5TJBKP/ref=pd_sbs_2/143-8599632-6336100?pd_rd_w=73u3t&pf_rd_p=3676f086-9496-4fd7-8490-77cf7f43f846&pf_rd_r=ND8Y37MQBGG26HB5XWAD&pd_rd_r=8e81084d-0d1c-45de-9603-c5ecc3fb8516&pd_rd_wg=4dBtz&pd_rd_i=B07J5TJBKP&psc=1 

Lombardo (2019). The Pursuit of Virtue: The Path to a Good Future (book): https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B07N8LDJRR/ref=dbs_a_def_rwt_bibl_vppi_i8 

Lombardo (2021). Science Fiction: the Evolutionary Mythology of the Future: Volume Two: the Time Machine to Metropolis (book): https://www.amazon.com/Science-Fiction-Evolutionary-Mythology-Metropolis-ebook/dp/B09F6X54JK/ref=pd_sim_1/143-8599632-6336100?pd_rd_w=Ovq6V&pf_rd_p=ea2ff367-bd36-4ec5-aee4-94c2aa42287d&pf_rd_r=RM7NA2B7ESTBH3X4C2NG&pd_rd_r=566e1044-01bd-4176-a2a9-03757cb9aec5&pd_rd_wg=bfdhQ&pd_rd_i=B09F6X54JK&psc=1 

Lombardo (2021). Science Fiction: the Evolutionary Mythology of the Future: Volume Three: Superman to Star Maker (book): https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B09F6XNV47/ref=dbs_a_def_rwt_bibl_vppi_i0 

Tom's website: https://www.centerforfutureconsciousness.com/ 

Tom's video webinar series on the history of science fiction: https://cfc-school.thinkific.com/

Tom’s online courses: https://www.centerforfutureconsciousness.com/FC_Course.htm   

Support Alex's videos: https://www.patreon.com/alexfergnani

The 2nd episode of the 2nd season of the 4Sight Chats Series, with Brent Cooper. Brent is a geopolitical sociologist, founder of The Abs-Tract Organization, and filmmaker. Alex is PhD candidate at NUS Business School (Singapore), and Associate Editor of the journal "World Futures Review".  

Chat Outline:  

- What is metamodernism? 

- The normative aspect of metamodernism  

- Differences and similarities between metamodernism and integral theory 

- The relation between metamodernism and science 

- Brent's film, The AbsTract: Core Philosophy, Act I  

Available in video format: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M4OK4noHkVE

MENTIONED REFERENCES  

Brent’s Medium: https://medium.com/@brentcooper 

Vermeulen & van den Akker (2010). Notes on Metamodernism: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.3402/jac.v2i0.5677 

Hanzi’s articles on metamodernism: https://metamoderna.org/ 

Hanzi (2019). Nordic Ideology: A Metamodern Guide to Politics, Book Two: https://www.amazon.com/Nordic-Ideology-Metamodern-Politics-Guides/dp/8799973928 

Alex’s article on the futures of capitalism: https://www.academia.edu/37518829/Scenario_archetypes_of_the_futures_of_capitalism_The_conflict_between_the_psychological_attachment_to_capitalism_and_the_prospect_of_its_dissolution 

Brent’s article about integral theory and metamodernism https://medium.com/the-abs-tract-organization/integral-abstraction-41a7d8597476   

Rowson’s article about Metamodernism in the Perspectiva book: https://systems-souls-society.com/metamodernism-and-the-perception-of-context-the-cultural-between-the-political-after-and-the-mystic-beyond/ 

Alex’s article about the resistance to scientific theory in futures and foresight (with Thomas Chermack): https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/ffo2.61 

Brent’s article in The Side View: https://thesideview.co/journal/mapping-metamodernism-for-collective-intelligence/ 

Brent’s short film, The AbsTract: Core Philosophy, Act I: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZJBRI53hmrE&t=0s 

Trailer of the film: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZVDk-u1xqRU    

Support Alex's videos: https://www.patreon.com/alexfergnani

The 1st episode of the 2nd season of the 4Sight Chats Series, with Young-chan Ro. Young-chan is a professor of religious studies and the director of the Korean studies center at George Mason University. Alex is PhD candidate at NUS Business School (Singapore), and Associate Editor of the journal "World Futures Review".  

Chat Outline: 

- The ideal society according to Confucianism 

- The five cardinal relationships of Confucianism and how they can inform/be reinterpreted for human societies today  

- How to counter the claim that Confucianism supports degenerating hierarchies 

- How to conciliate Confucianism's views of the past, present, and future  

- How to encourage engaged scholarship on Confucianism in mainstream academia  

Available in video format: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qw_12_gew6w

MENTIONED REFERENCES Economist (2021). Confucianism has become a political punchbag in South Korea: https://www.economist.com/asia/2021/01/02/confucianism-has-become-a-political-punchbag-in-south-korea Learn more about Young-chan: https://religious.gmu.edu/people/yro 

Support Alex's videos: https://www.patreon.com/alexfergnani

10th episode of the 4Sight Chats Series, with Peter Hayward. Peter is a "pracademic" with two decades of experience in teaching foresight to passionate and skillful people. He is also the co-host of Futurepod, one of the most well regarded and long-lasting podcasts in futures & foresight. Alex is PhD candidate at NUS Business School (Singapore), and Associate Editor of the journal "World Futures Review". 

Chat Outline:

- Using foresight to solve clients' problems

- The Sarkar Game in organizational contexts 

- The Polak Game in organizational contexts 

- The resistance to futures & foresight in business schools 

- Futurepod: why it was launched and lessons learnt  

Available in video format: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-SLdG9fU_zA

The previous conversation between Alex and Peter (Futurepod ep.89): https://www.futurepod.org/podcast/2020/10/24/ep-89 

Mentioned sources:  

Fergnani & Sweeney (2021). Identity wind tunneling: A method for finding an organization’s strategic identity using scenarios: upcoming  

The Sarkar Game, Teach the Future Library: https://library.teachthefuture.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/Sarkar-Game.pdf   

Galtung & Inayatullah (1997). Macrohistory and Macrohistorians: https://www.amazon.sg/Macrohistory-Macrohistorians-Perspectives-Individual-Civilizational/dp/0275957551  

Hayward and Candy (2017). The Polak Game, or Where do You Stand?: https://jfsdigital.org/articles-and-essays/2017-2/the-polak-game-or-where-do-you-stand/  Futurepod: https://www.futurepod.org/  

Additional references: 

Inatyatullah (2013). Using Gaming to Understand the Pattern of the Future: https://jfsdigital.org/articles-and-essays/2013-2/vol-18-no-1-september-2013/article/using-gaming-to-understand-the-patterns-of-the-future-the-sarkar-game-in-action/ 

The Sarkar Game, Prout Globe: https://proutglobe.org/2012/09/the-sarkar-game/ 

The Polak Game, or Where do You Stand? by Fearless Culture Design: https://www.fearlessculture.design/blog-posts/the-polak-game-where-do-you-stand 

The Polak Game: an exercise to help reveal your theories of the future, By Boingboing.net: https://boingboing.net/2018/01/01/contestable-futures.html  

Support Alex's videos: https://www.patreon.com/alexfergnani

9th episode of the 4Sight Chats Series, with Paul Schoemaker. Paul is an internationally renown expert, an entrepreneur, and an educator in the fields of strategy, innovation and decision-making. Alex is PhD candidate at NUS Business School (Singapore), and Associate Editor of the journal "World Futures Review"  

Chat outline: 

-What is organizational vigilance? 

-What is the difference between vigilance and foresight? 

-Why are organizations not vigilant? 

-Why is vigilance not taught in business schools? 

-Advice on how to research/teach vigilance in business schools 

-Paul's journey though scenarios at Shell and how to excel at scenarios  

Also available in video format: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DdtmJUPePNY

Books and articles mentioned: 

Day & Schoemaker (2020). See Sooner, Act Faster (book): https://www.amazon.com/See-Sooner-Act-Faster-Turbulence/dp/0262043319/ref=sr_1_1?dchild=1&keywords=see+sooner+act+faster&qid=1616238607&s=audible&sr=1-1-catcorr 

Schoemaker & Gunther (2016). Profiting from Uncertainty (book): https://www.amazon.com/Profiting-Uncertainty-Strategies-Succeeding-Matter/dp/150116175X 

Day & Schoemaker (2008). Are You a ‘Vigilant Leader’? (article, MIT Sloan Management Review): https://sloanreview.mit.edu/article/are-you-a-vigilant-leader/ 

Schoemaker (1993). Multiple Scenario Development: Its Conceptual and Behavioral Foundation (article, Strategic Management Journal): https://www.researchgate.net/publication/220041993_Multiple_Scenario_Development_Its_Conceptual_and_Behavioral_Foundation 

Fergnani & Chermack (2021). The resistance to scientific theory in futures and foresight, and what to do about it (article, Futures & Foresight Science) https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/ffo2.61 

Schomaker (2021). Theory Development in Foresight Research: Commentary on Fergnani and Chermack 2021 (upcoming article, Futures & Foresight Science).  

Schomaker & Tetlock (2012).Taboo Scenarios: How to Think about the Unthinkable (article, California Management Review): https://www.researchgate.net/publication/289661696_Taboo_Scenarios_How_to_Think_about_the_Unthinkable 

Schomaker (2008).The Future Challenges of Business: Rethinking Management Education (article, California Management Review): https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.2307/41166448 

Support Alex's videos: https://www.patreon.com/alexfergnani